C.H.A.D. W8 Recap

Good effort, Jags:

Not much to see here. Buffalo made it interesting for a bit. Jacksonville did not.

Math:

No surprise that the Saints were the strongest pick, given that @cajuncooks was the only one to take them. C.H.A.D. isn't played in a spreadsheet though (at least not this year!), so everybody moves on to Week 9.

The average value of an entry remains $478. Full pick summary is here.

C.H.A.D. Tweet of the Week

@redarmi123 I'm not surprised. Betting is a meritocracy - betting "commentary" is whatever the opposite of a meritocracy is.
— Spraguer (@_Spraguer) October 23, 2013

What Was Optimal? Looking Back on 10 Weeks of C.H.A.D. Picks

I thought it'd be fun to take a look back at how the weekly C.H.A.D. picks look when compared using the Pinny closing ML and how popular each team was. So, this is that.

Worth noting that because of the double-elimination format of the preseason, the standard SR/popularity EV calculation doesn't really hold. So I definitely did some #makingshitup to attempt to account for this, which definitely isn't perfect, but #whocares.

At least I removed the vig from the Pinny lines? Anyway, here goes, and please stick around until (or just scroll straight to) the bottom for a possible C.H.A.D. 2014 idea.

 

The Colts ended up being the best pick here (that was me!), but I think that was mostly because they got bet a bunch after the pick submission deadline. The Browns' absurd popularity hurts them, and the Jags were an underdog so that probably wasn't advisable, but at least @alexrolfe wasn't giving up much future value!

C.H.A.D. W7 Recap

Good effort, Jags:

And we're down to six, as @rolub was done in by a Ryan Tannehill sack-fumble.

The average value of an entry is up to $478. Full pick summary is here.

C.H.A.D. Tweet of the Week

watched a child walk by with a half point parlay card. this is what the terrorists are trying to destroy IMO
— beruitplayer, esq. (@beruitplayer) October 12, 2013

C.H.A.D. W6 Recap

Good effort, Jags:

Everybody won. The average value of an entry is still $409. Full pick summary is here. Go Jags.

C.H.A.D. Tweet of the Week

@jasonrmcintyre gut says if you bet all 3 of them you go 2-1 at worst...would feel more comfortable backing Tampa at +3 in this spot
— Todd Fuhrman (@ToddFuhrman) October 10, 2013

#CHADCC Week 6 Summary / Week 7 Lines

#CHADCC Tweet of the Week: @vegaswatch "@thickslicing I'm in third!? Awesome."

Winner by default right there imo.

Weatherman takes first for now, after a week in which every single person did better than random chance, which is pretty ridiculous. Congratulations to @JBXX21 for winning the week, now onto the Luck Factor™

Weatherman picking at a 65% clip, probably should join PreGame.com and do videos with Brian "Beef Taters in a Browns Polo" Leonard and Steve "$90" Fezzik. 

Week 7 lines after the jump.

C.H.A.D. W5 Recap

Good effort, Jags:

Boring week thus far, although we'll see how Geno Madness goes tonight. GENO MADNESS. Seems like the Rams were the way to go this week. Jags tho.

Full pick summary is here. With only seven entries left, the average value is up to $409.

C.H.A.D. Tweet of the Week

@vegaswatch Bengals sure were a terrible survivor pick, huh?
— Michael Beller (@MBeller) October 6, 2013

CHADCC Week 5 Results / Week 6 Lines

Congrats to @NotThatTricky for the win in a very tight week, where 5.5 points separated 1st from 10th.

Luck Factor™:

Kunk and HODES really separating themselves from the rest of the pack, while Weatherman™ has bad luck while being thisclose to first place. 

Lines for Week 6 after the jump: